Eric Buscemi
New York - http://www.theflyonthewall.com
Eric Buscemi, who has worked for the financial news site Theflyonthewall.com for three years, is the head editor of the company's blog. He has a BA and an MA in English from Queens College.
Posted Aug 5th 2008 11:15AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Apple Inc (AAPL), Dell (DELL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), Amer Intl Group (AIG), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Merrill upgraded shares of AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) to Neutral from Underperform to reflect the company's pipeline momentum and lack of negative catalysts.
- Keefe Bruyette upgraded Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation as they believe DB should trade at a higher multiple.
- Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) was raised at HSBC to Overweight from Neutral.
- American International (NYSE: AIG) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
Analyst downgrades:
- Merrill cut Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO) to Underperform from Neutral as the firm sees better opportunities elsewhere in the sector.
- Merriman downgraded Rackable Systems (NASDAQ: RACK) to Neutral from Buy following the company's mixed Q2 results to reflect its customer concentration and fluctuating margins.
- Janus Capital (NYSE: JNS) was downgraded at JP Morgan to Underweight from Neutral.
- Fortress (NYSE: FIG) was cut to Sell from Hold at Citigroup.
Analyst initiations:
- UBS believes Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has a competitive advantage and their checks indicate new Macs, new iPhone colors and potentially new iPods may come early on in the second half of 2008. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and $195 target. UBS also initiated Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) at Neutral.
- KeyBanc initiated Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY) with an Underweight rating and $25 target based on slowing core growth at Bed Bath and likely margin erosion from the ramp in growth at Christmas Tree Shops and buybuy Baby.
- Infineon (NYSE: IFX) was initiated with a Buy rating at Deutsche Bank.
Posted Aug 4th 2008 11:30AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Nortel Networks (NT), Genentech Inc (DNA), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Analyst initiations, Deere and Co (DE), Akamai Technologies (AKAM)
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Akamai (NASDAQ: AKAM) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they see a long-term buying opportunity following the recent correction. The firm maintains a $29 target.
- Moody's (NYSE: MCO) was upgraded to Overweight from Underweight at Lehman.
- Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill Lynch.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) to Hold from Buy on concerns about the company's ability to hit expectations and drive margin expansion in the face of an eroding CDMA revenue stream. The firm lowered their target to $7.25 from $11.
- B. Riley cut Charlotte Russe (NASDAQ: CHIC) to Neutral from Buy on concerns about how well the company can perform with the interim management team, especially in light of the current retail environment. The firm lowered their target to $14 from $17. Roth Capital downgraded shares to Sell from Hold to reflect the management uncertainty and lowered their target to $9 from $14.
- Goldman cut Warner Music (NYSE: WMG) to Sell from Neutral and Deere (NYSE: DE) to Neutral from Buy.
Analyst initiations:
- Banc of America expects top-line growth at Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) to be driven by Denosumab and for investors to look to the stock for biotech exposure following the potential acquisition of Genentech (NYSE: DNA). The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $70 target.
- Sirius Satellite (NASDAQ: SIRI) was initiated at JP Morgan with a Neutral rating.
Posted Aug 1st 2008 11:30AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Omnicare (NYSE: OCR) to Buy from Hold and raised their target to $37 from $24.50 following the company's Q2 results to reflect improving earnings visibility.
- Piper upgraded Motorola (NYSE: MOT) to Neutral from Sell following the company's Q2 results to reflect its continued execution in cost management. The firm raised its target to $9 from $7.
- Capital One Southcoast upgraded Patterson-UTI Energy (NASDAQ: PTEN) to Add from Neutral based on additional new builds already under contract and rig reactivations. The firm raised its target to $36 from $32.
Analyst downgrades:
- Citigroup downgraded shares of ImClone (NASDAQ: IMCL) to Hold from Buy despite thinking the initial offer from Bristol Myers (BMY) will be raised, as they do not advise chasing shares at current levels. The company's target was raised to $73 from $56.
- First Mercury (NYSE: FMR) and Monster (NASDAQ: MNST) were downgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Overweight.
- Jefferies lowered Osiris Therapeutics (NASDAQ: OSIR) to Underperform from Hold.
Analyst initiations:
- Morgan Keegan initiated Cicso Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) with a Market Perform rating, citing the difficult macro environment; the firm believes 2H08 estimates will come down.
- Banc of America reinstated coverage of MF Global (NYSE: MF) with a Buy rating and $8.36 target.
Posted Jul 31st 2008 11:46AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, RadioShack Corp (RSH), Analyst initiations, Calif Pizza Kitchen (CPKI)
Analyst upgrades:
- Merrill upgraded Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP) to Buy from Neutral citing the company's better near-term pipeline outlook with two potential blockbusters to be approved over the next year. Schering-Plough's target was raised to $23 from $20.
- Morgan Stanley lifted RadioShack (NYSE: RSH) and Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) to Equal Weight from Underweight.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Hologic (NASDAQ: HOLX) to Hold from Buy as they see limited near-term catalysts after the company reported a Q3 miss and lowered top-line guidance for FY08. The firm lowered their target to $24 from $28.
- Baird downgraded California Pizza (NASDAQ: CPKI) to Neutral from Outperform as they see limited near-term upside given the uncertain 2H08/2009 outlook. The company's target was lowered to $15 from $17.
- JP Morgan downgraded Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL) and CB Richard Ellis (NYSE: CBG) to Neutral from Overweight due to the continued challenging economic environment.
Analyst initiations:
- BC Capital initiated Dollar Financial(NYSE: DLLR) with an Outperform rating and $24 target. The firm likes Dollar's geographically diversified business and valuation.
Posted Jul 30th 2008 12:12PM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Walgreen Co (WAG), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Baird upgraded Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) to Outperform from Neutral following strong Q2 results as they expect comps momentum, operating leverage, and potentially favorable chicken wing costs to support healthy trends in 2H08.
- RBC Capital upgraded Myriad Genetics (NASDAQ: MYGN) to Outperform from Sector Perform citing solid core molecular diagnostics growth and increased confidence that the spin-out will generate better shareholder value.
Analyst downgrades:
- Citigroup downgraded shares of Wyeth (NYSE: WYE) to Sell from Hold following the disappointing bapineuzumab data and lowered their target to $39 from $49.
- Molson Coors (NYSE: TAP) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
- UBS lowered Affymetrix (NASDAQ: AFFX) and Sepracor (NASDAQ: SEPR) to Neutral from Buy.
- Sony (NYSE: SNE) was downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at HSBC.
Analyst initiations:
- Citigroup initiated Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) with a Hold rating and $112 target. The firm believes regulatory concerns and a potential deceleration in energy trading volumes could limit upside in the stock near-term.
- Banc of America assumed Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) with a Buy rating and $38 target and believes fewer new pharmacies openings removes an impediment to higher ROIC.
Posted Jul 29th 2008 11:31AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF), Electronic Data Systems (EDS), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Analyst initiations, Urban Outfitters (URBN), Marvel Entertainment (MVL)
Analyst upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded shares of Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) to Buy from Hold and raised the target price to $70 from $50 following AMGN's better-than-expected Q2 results and positive Dmab results.
- Credit Suisse upgraded Electronic Data Systems (NYSE: EDS) to Neutral from Underperform and expects the Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) transaction to close at the $25/share price.
Analyst downgrades:
- JP Morgan downgraded OmniVision (NASDAQ: OVTI) to Neutral from Overweight citing slowing growth and increased competition, as well as the impact on margins.
- Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEP) was downgraded at Lehman to Equal Weight from Overweight.
- International Game Tech (NYSE: IGT) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.
Analyst initiations:
- KeyBanc said Visa's (NYSE: V) strengths are its recurring revenue model, significant pricing power, no consumer credit risk, operating leverage, expense flexibility, and considerable free cash flow, among other reasons. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and $94 target.
- Regal Entertainment (NYSE: RGC) was assumed at Caris with an Average rating and $18 target. The firm sees tough comps ahead for the company and does not expect any meaningful price increases.
- Caris also initiated Marvel Entertainment (NYSE: MVL), as they are positive on the company's new financing vehicle. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $45 target.
- Goldman initiated textile, apparel and footwear stocks. Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO) and Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN) were initiated with Buy ratings, Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) were started with Neutral ratings and American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) was initiated with a Sell rating.
Posted Jul 28th 2008 11:11AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Best Buy (BBY), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades
- Rodman & Renshaw upgraded shares of Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) to Outperform from Market Perform following the positive top line results from the FREEDOM study. The firm established an $80 target. Jefferies upgraded shares to Buy from Hold following the positive top-line efficacy and safety results for Denosumab in PMO as they view it as a "big win." The firm raised their target to $71 from $47.
- Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America.
- Goldman upgraded Kimberly Clark (NYSE: KMB) to Neutral from Sell and Dick's Sporting Good (NYSE: DKS) to Buy from Neutral.
- Rowan Companies (NYSE: RDC) was lifted at JP Morgan to Neutral from Underweight.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jesup & Lamont downgraded shares of Moog (NYSE: MOG.A) to Neutral from Buy on concerns of the company's high rate of R&D and its relative valuation. Keefe Bruyette downgraded shares of Federated Investors to Market Perform from Outperform following the company's lower than expected Q2 results and cut their target to $35.
- Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY) was cut to Hold from Buy at Citigroup.
Analyst initiations:
- Morgan Joseph believes Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN)'s positive FREEDOM trial results will have a profound and lasting impact on the company's growth but also on its scientific credibility. The firm initiated coverage with a Buy rating and $77 target.
- Piper assumed Ctrip.com (NASDAQ: CTRP) with a Neutral rating and Epicor Software (NASDAQ: EPIC) with a Buy rating and $8 target.
- Banc of America initiated Britannia Bulk (NYSE: DWT) with a Buy rating and $19 target.
Posted Jul 25th 2008 11:00AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Ensco International (NYSE: ESV) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they find the company's long-term EPS growth and potential upside from the GOM/Mexico jack-up market compelling.
- Friedman Billings upgraded Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) to Outperform from Market Perform following the better-than-expected Q2 report. The firm raised Juniper's target to $29 from $27.
- Friedman Billings upgraded shares of Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation following the recent weakness. Southwestern's target was raised to $43 from $40.
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill.
- Merrill also upgraded Delta (NYSE: DAL) to Buy from Neutral.
Analyst downgrades:
- Baird downgraded Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) to Neutral from Outperform following the company's weak Q2 report and guidance.
- Merriman cut Nautilus Group (NYSE: NLS) to Sell from Neutral to reflect the company's dependence on the consumer home fitness market at a time when consumer spending trends are weakening. The firm believes shares are overvalued and could potentially decline to the $4.00-$4.50 level.
- E.W. Scripps (NYSE: SSP) was downgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Overweight.
- HSBC lowered Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) to Neutral from Overweight.
- Epicor Software (NASDAQ: EPIC) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at KeyBanc.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations
Posted Jul 24th 2008 11:22AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst initiations
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Nova BioSource, Aventine Renewable and the REIT Sector were today's noteworthy initiations:
- ThinkPanmure believes Nova BioSource's (AMEX:NBF) biodiesal production process is economically superior to traditional processes but higher feedstock costs will make scaling difficult. Shares were initiated with an Accumulate rating.
- ThinkPanmure also initiated Aventine Renewable (NYSE:AVR) with an Accumulate rating and $8 target. The firm does not expect share upside until margin visibility improves, which will not occur until next year's corn crop materializes in early 2009.
- Lehman initiated the REIT sector with a Neutral rating; the firm started AMB Property (NYSE:AMB) and Kimco Realty (NYSE:KIM) with Overweight ratings and CBL & Associates (CBL) with an Underweight rating.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Posted Jul 24th 2008 11:20AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, McDonald's (MCD), AT and T (T), China Mobile Limited (CHL)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Varian, Chipotle Mexican Grill and McDonald's were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Thomas Weisel downgraded shares of Varian (NASDAQ:VARI) to Market Weight from Overweight following the company's Q3 results to reflect manufacturing relocation issues and the slowdown in organic growth. The firm lowered their target to $47 from $70.
- Jefferies cut Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) to Hold from Buy following the company's in-line Q2 results, as they believe consumer headwinds and commodity inflation are likely to pressure EPS in coming quarters. The firm lowered their target to $80 from $100.
- Deutsche Bank downgraded McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) to Hold from Buy as they believe higher beef costs and slower traffic could drive reduced profitability and limit upside. The firm reduced their target to $63 from $67.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- AT&T (NYSE:T) was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
- Baird cut Citrix Systems (NASDAQ:CTXS) to Neutral from Outperform.
- Raymond James (NYSE:RJF) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.
Posted Jul 24th 2008 11:09AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Citigroup Inc. (C)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Memc Electronic, Citigroup and Sanmina were today's noteworthy upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded shares of Memc Electronic (NYSE:WFR) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they believe the bad news is priced in following the company's quarter. The firm raised Memc's target to $65 from $64. JP Morgan upgraded shares to Overweight from Neutral on valuation.
- Morgan Stanley upgraded Citigroup (NYSE:C) to Equal Weight from Underweight based on asset sales, improved top-line, and dividend.
- Credit Suisse upgraded Sanmina (NASDAQ:SANM) to Outperform from Neutral citing valuation and margin traction. The firm raised Sanmina's target to $2.50 from $1.60. Cowen upgraded Sanmina to Outperform from Neutral following the Q3 report and guidance.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Posted Jul 23rd 2008 12:36PM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Energy East, SunTrust Banks and Suncor were today's noteworthy upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Energy East (NYSE: EAS) to Buy from Hold on valuation, pointing out the return on the transaction if the Iberdrola/EAS merger deal closes is 21.9%. The firm raised their target to $28.50 from $25.50.
- Baird upgraded SunTrust Banks (NYSE: STI) to Outperform from Neutral citing valuation and notes the company is unlikely to need to raise capital.
- CIBC raised Suncor (NYSE: SU) to Outperformer from Sector Performer following news that Alberta's Energy Resource Conservation Board has lifted restrictions on production on the company's Firebag SAGD project.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Posted Jul 23rd 2008 12:12PM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Washington Mutual (WM)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Anadigics, American Axle and Caterpillar were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Stephens downgraded shares of Anadigics (NASDAQ: ANAD) following the company's Q2 results, as they believe shares could trade sideways until the macro environment improves. The firm lowered their target to $9 from $14. Jefferies downgraded shares to Hold from Buy to reflect the company's lower than expected outlook. The firm lowered their target to $9 from $15.
- Deutsche Bank cut American Axle (NYSE: AXL) to Hold from Buy to reflect the risk associated with the company's exposure to General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Chrysler. The firm lowered their target price to $7.50 from $11.
- JP Morgan downgraded Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) to Neutral from Overweight based on increasing macro headwinds and likely multiple pressure.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Posted Jul 23rd 2008 11:36AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst initiations
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Psychiatric Solutions, hhgregg and Ulta Salon were today's noteworthy initiations:
- Stanford started Psychiatric Solutions (NASDAQ: PSYS) with a Buy rating and $46 target and believes the recent pullback provides an attractive entry point given the company's stable growth and fundamentally strong business.
- Oppenheimer initiated hhgregg (NYSE: HGG) with a Perform rating. The firm believes the company's TV business could become much more challenging while housing market weakness could continue to hinder appliance sales.
- Oppenheimer also assumed Ulta Salon (NASDAQ: ULTA) with an Outperform rating and $13 target. The firm believes the company's fundamentals are solid and sees potential upside to valuation.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
- Piper initiated Ormat Tech (NYSE: ORA) with a Neutral rating and $49 target and Raser Technologies (NYSE: RZ) with a Sell rating and $7 target.
- The9 (NASDAQ: NCTY) was assumed at Roth Capital with a Hold rating and $27 target.
- Masimo (NASDAQ: MASI) was initiated with an Outperform rating and $44 target at BMO Capital.
Posted Jul 22nd 2008 12:12PM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Alcoa Inc (AA), Intl Flavors/Fragr (IFF), Allegheny Technologies (ATI), Analyst initiations, salesforce.com inc (CRM)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The Metals and Mining sector, Lamar Advertising and Rigel Pharmaceuticals were today's noteworthy initiations:
- Banc of America initiated the Metals and Mining sector with an Equal Weight rating and believes investors should take a selective approach to stocks in the group. The firm initiated Alcoa (NYSE: AA) and RTI International Metals (NYSE: RTI) with Buy ratings and a $44 target and $41 target, and started Allegheny Tech (NYSE: ATI), Century Aluminum (NASDAQ: CENX) and Titanium Metals (NYSE: TIE) with Neutral ratings and a $64 target, $58 target and $12 target, respectively.
- Lamar Advertising (NASDAQ: LAMR) was initiated at Caris with an Above Average rating and $40 target. Caris is positive on the company's North American focus and exposure to the aggressive deployment of digital boards.
- Stanford believes Rigel Pharma's (NASDAQ: RIGL) lead drug R788 has the potential to be the first oral drug for rheumatoid arthritis and expects clinical news flow and partnerships to serve as catalysts. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $30 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
- Thomas Weisel assumed Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) with an Overweight rating and $90 target.
- International Flavors (NYSE: IFF) was initiated at Lehman with an Underweight rating.
- JP Morgan started Ares Capital (NASDAQ: ARCC) with an Underweight rating.
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